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  Saturday, November 22 2008
   
     
     
NEWS
   
     

Aeroflot 'right-sized' for the MD-11 - 8/1/2008

With major domestic and international expansion plans Aeroflot Cargo is confident it made the right choice in the MD-11 aircraft to fuel this strategy, despite not being the most fuel efficient aircraft in the increasingly expensive skies. Donald Urquhart reports from Hahn, Germany. Donald Urquhart
     

Three of six MD-11 Boeing Converted Freighters are now in service between the Far East and Europe as Aeroflot Cargo has begun implementing its carefully planned expansion that will see its fleet number and capacity grow substantially over the next two years as it combines wide-body, long range aircraft with short-haul feeder aircraft.

The three MD-11s are on lease from Boeing Capital Corporation, while the remaining three have been purchased outright by the 100 per cent owned subsidiary of Aeroflot Airlines and are slated for redelivery in 2009 after undergoing conversion by Singapore-based SASCO.

Speaking to press at its European hub following a ceremony to mark the new five-flights per week (daily from September) service between Hahn, Moscow, Almaty, Hong Kong and return, Aeroflot Cargo director general and chief executive Oleg Korolev said the cargo carrier's choice of the MD-11 was "the right decision".

Korolev was some what more circumspect,however, when asked whether he would have made the same choice now,in a vastly different environment than theoriginal decision was made, because of currently surging fuel prices.

"The MD-11 compared with some other type of aircraft, we can't say it is the most fuel efficient aircraft, but we started the deal with Boeing years ago and for sure the MD-11 will be effective definitely for several years in the future- 10 to 12 years, or something like that,"he said.

"The MD-11 was the right decision,"Korolev said, adding that he was involve dearly days in the planning for the MD-11s. "We investigated a lot of options including the 747-400 but because we started our development in 1994 withthe DC-10 and we had at the moment trained pilots and experience with such aircraft.

"You need not only aircraft in your hand when you are trying to be competitive in the market, you also need sales and service that you can offer to your customer and I suppose right now we are exactly in the size of the MD-11."

But the Aeroflot Cargo boss acknowledges that, "the whole industry is not in a good situation now - we need a much more fuel efficient aircraft as part of the solution."With no fuel hedging policy in place, the carrier now sees fuel costs comprising over 60 per cent of total costs he said.

"Ultimately someone has to pay for it; the airline first, forwarding companies second and shippers third," Korolev said noting that high fuel prices will "definitely" drive some cargo to cheaper alternatives like ocean, road and rail.


More than doubling volume

But the cargo boss is optimistic that the carrier is on target to achieve its goal of 350,000 tonnes of annual cargo by 2010, despite record fuel costs. This is two-and-a-half times the volume it carried in 2007. Citing the fact it will have nine wide-body aircraft in its fleet bythen, "it's very reasonable,"he added.

The remainder of its immediate-termfleet expansion is coming from a US$450million firm order for six all-Russianbuilt, Ilyushin Il-96-400T, a four-engine long haul wide body aircraft which will bedelivered starting this year through 2009.These slightly larger, modern aircraft will be used alongside its new MD-11s to expand its domestic Russia network, as well as tapping the fast growing markets of the CIS and Kazakhstan.

Korolev said that while the globalair cargo market is forecast to grow at around 6 per cent, the Russian domestic market is growing by 12 per cent and the Central Asian market is growing at 17per cent, year-on-year.

With the same configuration of ULDs(unit load devices) as the MD-11, the IL-96s are highly complementary. "We will use the IL-96s to develop our Russian domestic network in conjunction with westbound flights from China, Japan and South Korea,"he said.


New destinations on table

"Depending on fuel prices and the efficiency of the IL-96s we will investigate and may start operations from Moscow to Mumbai and Moscow to Dubai. "These two destinations are on the table,"headded. Aeroflot will also seek an AOCfrom German authorities in order touse the IL-96 as a reserve aircraft for theMD-11, or for use during peak seasonperiods.

It's fleet of three, fuel-hungry, 62 tonnepayload DC-10s will be retired at the endof this year.

As to why Aeroflot chose to build afleet based on aircraft of similar specs- the MD-11 with a payload of 82 tonneswith a range of 6,000 km compared withthe IL-96 with a payload of 84 tonnes anda range of 5,500 km - Korolev said it wasa facet of operating in Russia.

"We are a Russian registered airlineand we have to work in accordance withRussian regulations and this means wehave to pay special taxes - so-calledcustoms duties - in case we export toRussia certain aircraft types,"he said. TheMD-11 and the 14.5 tonne capacity, 4,600km range B737s it operates as Europeanfeeders, are both such aircraft.

"This is a big challenge for our networkplanning,"he added. As such the cargocarrier utilises the MD-11s for internationalroutes only, in order to avoid extracosts because of taxes, while the IL-96will be used primarily domestic.

He declined to specify the cost of thetaxes involved, saying it was a "complicated calculation,"but said the MD-11was "not so expensive"compared with the B737 which if exported to Russia would incur roughly 50 per cent of its monthly leasing cost, "and that's too much,"he added.

Aeroflot is also planning to expandits current DC-10 service into Beijing and Shanghai from two flights a week to three, once it has its full complement of MD-11s in service. Once it has all of its new fleet on board it will also look at increasing frequencies to its other Asian destinations including Tokyo (Narita) andSeoul (Incheon) as well as new routes.

The renewed fleet will also have adramatic impact on the ratio of bellyhold versus dedicated freighter volumes.Currently 60 per cent of volumes are derived from the bellies of Aeroflot's passenger fleet while 40 per cent is dedicated freighter volume. By year endof 2008, this will already be the reverse, Korolev said.


Bureaucratic hurdles

The process of expanding its fleet has not been a completely smooth ride forAeroflot Cargo. The first MD-11 sat onthe tarmac in Moscow for weeks awaiting approval from the authorities. Because the MD-11 is a new aircraft type for Russia,it has to undergo type certification.That process has not actually concluded,and special permission has been givenby the Russian authorities which enable the MD-11s to operate, but with some restrictions.

"We are working in close contact with Boeing and for sure we will have permission in December to operate MD-11s without restrictions,"Korolev added.

"It was hard work and many thanks go to various regional authorities for supporting Aeroflot Cargo from the beginning,"he added.

On the books are also plans to expand its European feeder network which it operates using B737-300Fs. Currently this network includes Helsinki, Oslo, Manchester, Hahn, Paris, Leipzig and Dusseldorf, with plans to expand to include Bergen, Milan, Madrid and Istanbul.

Also feeding its air network is atrucking network based around three air-truck hubs in Moscow, Novosibirskand Almaty.

As for its Hahn air hub, Korolev said it is "very important for us because of its good geographical location, infrastructure, ground handling, maintenance support for aircraft operations and we have no slot restrictions so we can have 24 hour operation.

Air France-KLM takes surcharge lead - 8/1/2008

Air France KLM Cargo have unveiled a new fuel surcharge mechanism that represents a major paradigm shift in what has become an industry bone of contention for both the shippers/forwarding community, as well as the carriers themselves. Donald Urquhart reports from Paris. Donald Urquhart
     

Dramatically rising fuel prices have forced carriers to continually hike fuel surcharges to try and cover spiraling costs, but the traditional mechanism - typically based on vastly out dated base rates - was notoriously opaque and widely perceived as unfair in its application.

Among the common complaints from forwarders and shippers is the fact the surcharges appear arbitrary and are applied across the spectrum regardless of the length of the route or the particular market. In some cases surcharges can make up some 90 per cent of the total net freight rate being charged on some trade lanes, like Asia to Europe.

Under the old system, forwarders complained that the carriers would adjust the fuel surcharges upwards, but let the rates stagnate or slide.

Air France-KLM have taken a brave, if perhaps risky step forward into previously uncharted territory to try and remedy one of the most flawed aspects of the airfreight industry, say forwarding and carrier executives.

Conceding the new system - which AF-KLM has devoted nearly six months of intensive work to develop - "looks complicated in the first instance," AFKLM's senior vice president, sales and distribution, Jean-Charles Foucault also acknowledged that the group was taking a risk in trying this new approach. "But we think it will bring benefits to customers and we hope it will also bring a small change to the industry".

In presenting the new mechanism in a recent briefing to press in Paris, senior AF-KLM executives denied the impetus behind developing the new mechanism had anything to do with price-fixing charges over air cargo rates being level ledat a broad swath of the air cargo industry including AF-KLM.


The impetus behind the change

The impetus is multifaceted, partly driven by customers who want transparency and predictability which had become as acerbated by fundamental changes injet fuel prices and the Euro/USD exchangerates.

"The triggers were oil prices, thefinancial crisis and the behaviour of customers,"said Michael Wisbrun, chairman joint cargo management committee AirFrance-KLM Cargo. "While we thoughtthe financial crisis would not hurt the economy, now we know it is impacting the way people are thinking and ultimately this impacts our business. To survive we need to find synergies."

"As a carrier we also need to have a better cost relationship," added Marc Boudier, executive vice president AirFrance Cargo. "Rates are market driven and surcharges are cost related and what we are doing is trying to bring additional logic and rationale into the system."

"With the current system based on a US$17 barrel of crude oil - now hovering around US$140, the system was unsustainable and jeopardises the industry and the trust of the market in the industry where trust was already lacking," he added.

"This is not only something good for AF-KLM, but something good for the whole industry and we hope it makes sense for the market, for shippers and forwarders," Boudier added.


A new paradigm

A key facet of the new system is the fact it relies on three different, time-based, distance zones with different levels of surcharges for each zone. This means the new surcharge takes into account the different fuel-burn patterns. The three zones include longer inter-continental flights over 9 hours (Long ICA); other inter-continental flights between 4 and 9 hours (ICA); and short haul flights less than 4 hours in length (Short haul).

Once implemented, future fuel surcharges will be determined by taking the Long ICA as the base with the other two zones being determined by taking 80 and 50 per cent of the base figure, respectively.

The US dollar is set as the base currency for the system with surcharges being converted into Euro or other local invoicing currencies.

In creating the new mechanism Foucault said it was decided that in order to maintain some degree of continuity the starting point for the new mechanism once it comes into effect on 1 September will be based on the current fuel surcharge level of US$ 1.30 per kilogram.

This will form the initial first zone,or Long ICA fuel surcharge level, while the second, or ICA zone will be set at 80 per cent of the Long ICA (equivalent to US$ 1.04) while the third Short haul zone is calculated as 50 per cent of the base figure, or US$ 0.65.

The difference between the old fuel surcharge level and the new level will be added to the freight rate, which in the case of the ICA zone, the amount added to the freight rate will be US$0.26 (see examples).

Future fuel surcharge changes willbe applied fully as surcharges and not incorporated in the basic freight rate. "In order to increase stability and prevent changes to short-term peaks, a monthly moving average will be used for the jet fuel price," said Foucault, adding that all surcharge increases/decreases will be implemented in steps of US$ 0.10 instead of US$ 0.05.

 
 
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